Category: Commentary by Mellman Group

Iowa and New Hampshire: It’s win one or go home

It may be fashionable to denigrate the importance of the two early contests, but recent history shows that they have a dramatic joint impact. January 5, 2012 MARK MELLMAN, LOS ANGELES TIMES OP-ED  It has become fashionable of late to denigrate the importance of Iowa’s caucuses, and even New Hampshire’s primary, by suggesting neither has

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Predicting Jewish Vote More Complicated

Democrats Have Edge, But GOP Aided by Orthodox and Israel By Michael Bloomfield and Mark Mellman, The Jewish Daily ForwardPublished November 14, 2011, issue of November 18, 2011. Understanding the Jewish vote requires appreciating at least four realities: 1. Impelled by our history and tradition, American Jews remain deeply devoted to the values of the

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Presidential Politics

C-SPAN/ Washington Journal – August 14, 2011 Keith Appell and Mark Mellman talked about the results of the Iowa straw poll and 2012 politics. They also responded to telephone calls and electronic communications. Watch video

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Analysis: How The Parties Fared In The Debt Debate

NPR – August 4, 2011 Listen to the story Steve Inskeep talks with Mark McKinnon, a strategist who advised George W. Bush and John McCain, and Mark Mellman, a Democratic pollster and political adviser, about how the debt ceiling and deficit debate has affected the parties and the implications for 2012.

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Harry Reid: Withstanding the Wave

November 15, 2010 Mark Mellman & Jim Margolis (GMMB), THE POLLING REPORT Pundits and prognosticators, strategists and seers all said it couldn’t be done. Incumbents who garner positive ratings from fewer than four in ten voters and who post double-digit deficits in match-ups against opponents (in public polls) are not supposed to win-and they usually

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Israel and the Jewish vote

Nov. 12, 2008 MARK MELLMAN and MICHAEL BLOOMFIELD, THE JERUSALEM POST In capturing the White House, President-elect Barack Obama won 78 percent of the two-party Jewish vote – a showing identical to that of John Kerry and stronger than those of Walter Mondale and Michael Dukakis, not to mention George McGovern and Jimmy Carter. Indeed,

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Another Country

September 17, 2008 MARK MELLMAN, THE NEW YORK TIMES VOTERS not only express a desire for change in the coming election, they themselves have changed, and their shifting values are likely to alter the course of future policy debates. For more than 25 years, three core questions have animated our political discourse: What should be

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Class Dismissed

May 29, 2008 MARK MELLMAN, THE NEW YORK TIMES DOES Barack Obama have a problem with the white working class? Despite the ubiquity of the term during this presidential campaign, it’s hard to say what, exactly, “working class” means. If you define class by education, which is polled more consistently than occupation or income, Mr.

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Loose Lips Win Elections

January 6, 2008 MARK MELLMAN and MICHAEL BLOOMFIELD, THE NEW YORK TIMES HOW can we begin to understand why Mitt Romney outspent Mike Huckabee on television in Iowa by 6 to 1, yet lost, after watching his rival jump into the lead even before spending a single dollar on ads? How can we explain John

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