Reputations of leaders in crises
04/15/2020
Leaders frequently forge their reputations in crises. In normal times, competition for the public’s attention is fierce. Crises, by contrast, put leaders at the center of our focus. Almost every…
The primary difference
04/08/2020
Juxtaposing the 2016 and 2020 Democratic primaries creates something like an experiment. Two different candidates, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, faced the same opponent, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), in many of the same states, with…
Two crises
03/25/2020
For the last two decades, one corner of political science has been consumed by a debate over whether shark attacks off the New Jersey shore cost Woodrow Wilson votes in…
Is there a Sanders turnout surge?
03/11/2020
As noted here previously, the walking national disaster that is Donald Trump has focused Democrats on electability like never before. Primary voters are consistently more interested in a candidate who can defeat…
Should the majority rule?
02/26/2020
We throw around phrases like “majority rule” with abandon, but often without giving much thought to their actual meaning. Americans assume they elect their public officials by majority rule. Most…
Primary elections aren’t general elections
02/19/2020
The national disaster that is Donald Trump has focused Democrats on finding a candidate who is electable, one who can defeat the president in November. A recent poll from Monmouth University found…
Debating Michael Bloomberg
02/11/2020
Whether you love former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg or hate him, if he meets the current qualification criteria, you should want him on the Democratic debate stage. Yes, the rules…
The Iowa results?
02/05/2020
Once again the Des Moines Register Iowa poll proved prescient—it produced no results, and neither did the Iowa caucuses. But since this column is due, with some trepidation, I’ll go…
First-timers and veterans in Iowa
01/29/2020
Already six weeks ago, I lamented that watching the Iowa polls could make your head spin. If you’ve continued watching, you’re probably suffering whiplash by now. I can’t offer a…
A failure of GOP leadership
01/21/2020
Two primary motivations typically drive legislative leaders: doing right by the country and providing political protection to their caucuses. “Moscow Mitch” McConnell (R-Ky.), the Senate majority leader, and House Minority…