Give positive a chance
05/03/2016
Consultants are trained by experience, and by mentors, to go negative. There are few more powerful norms among political professionals. When in trouble, when in doubt — whenever, really —…
Figures and factions
04/26/2016
With all eyes fixed firmly on the fissures Donald Trump is creating in the GOP, the deep divisions among congressional Republicans are going largely unnoticed. It’s hard to overestimate the…
Two Americas?
04/19/2016
It’s often said that Democrats and Republicans inhabit different countries. At least, they seem to see the same country quite differently. They certainly feel differently about it. Last month, a…
Obama’s rising ratings
04/12/2016
Presidential approval is the single most important piece of political data that is regularly collected. That’s not just because the presidency is the most important office in the land; it…
In defense of superdelegates
04/05/2016
I’m about to make some enemies. In recent weeks, passionate denunciations of “superdelegates” have rolled in from most quarters of the Democratic Party. They’ve been labeled unfair, unjust and even…
When surveys are really bad
03/29/2016
We dissect the failings of political pollsters at length — and there’s much to criticize. However, those of us in politics face a test each Election Day. We’re either right…
Trump’s secret sauce
03/22/2016
It’s the question I get most often from those who, like me, abhor Donald Trump and the poison he peddles: “How can so many people find him appealing?” Part of…
Convention games
03/15/2016
Having failed (as of Monday) to stem the Trump tide with voters, the Republican establishment is looking to the party’s Cleveland convention as the site of its counter-coup. It won’t…
Message and meaning
03/08/2016
Leadership consists, in important measure, of creating identities, defining situations, interpreting realities and explaining what’s happening to people in terms that followers understand and can relate to. Charismatic leadership emerges…
Imitating Trump
03/01/2016
Imitation is, as we all know, the highest form of flattery. It can also be dumb. Politics, where anecdote passes for evidence, is particularly susceptible to the dangers of imitation.…