Who will decide this election?
10/19/2022
I know exactly how to get you to stop reading right now: We’re going to do a little arithmetic! It’s simple, so I hope you’ll bear with me. Each cycle,…
Question order and poll result
10/12/2022
Forty years ago, Connecticut featured a marquee Senate race. Incumbent Lowell Weicker cemented his reputation as an independent Republican leading the charge against Richard Nixon’s Watergate crimes on the Senate investigating committee.…
Abortion impact on elections
09/27/2022
Issues are the accepted language of political campaigning. But rarely, if ever, has a single issue so transformed the political landscape in the weeks before an election as abortion seems…
Changing fundamentals boost Democrats
09/14/2022
Democrats’ electoral prospects improved in recent months as a function of several developments, including the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization abortion decision and Democratic legislative successes. Some…
Where were the heroes on the infamous Dec. 18?
07/27/2022
Dec. 18 has joined the list of days that will live in infamy. Unlike Dec. 7 and Sept. 11, this latest addition does not recall foreign adversaries using force against…
The decline of SCOTUS
06/29/2022
Radical justices are doing serious, possibly irrepealable damage to the Supreme Court on which they sit. When the draft abortion opinion leaked, I wrote here that by “slapping two-thirds of…
How many endorse political violence?
06/22/2022
“Professors Debate” is a headline that would not have merited a “breaking news” banner, even under CNN’s old regime. But this debate is both important and timely, given the January 6 committee…
Will 2022 tell us about 2024?
06/15/2022
While no one knows exactly how bad this year will be for Democrats, every serious analyst recognizes 2022 is unlikely to be good for my party. Whatever the precise outcome,…
Polls vs. initiative results
06/08/2022
Last week, The New York Times’s astute chief political analyst, Nate Cohn, raised serious doubts about polling on background checks for gun purchasers and, by extension, about the efficacy of…
The Roe effect
05/11/2022
After the Supreme Court’s radical draft opinion revoking Roe v. Wade was released, Washington Post headline writers opined that it would “deepen America’s divide.” In fact, we are relatively united…