Where Dems go from here
03/23/2010
Passing healthcare reform is an accomplishment of historic proportions, even though, on the eve of victory, only 45 percent of Americans were willing to label it even a major feat.…
Up in arms over Iran
03/16/2010
George Bush offered three countries charter memberships in the Axis of Evil. Two of the three were on the verge of obtaining nuclear weapons. We invaded the third. Whoops. One…
Some quick to write off Obama
03/09/2010
The press purports to explain the problems. “Why The President’s Men Stumble,” a New York Times headline promised to explain. Another lede concluded that the president’s “once-dazzling political momentum
If present trends continue
03/02/2010
On a podium we shared the other day, my Republican colleague Whit Ayres summarized a great deal of what passes for political analysis. Preceding me in the speaking lineup, Ayres…
A proposal to end abuse of filibuster
02/23/2010
Ever since Cato the Younger first used the maneuver in an attempt to frustrate Julius Caesar’s ambitions, the filibuster has been controversial – beloved by minorities battling to stave off…
Self-fulfilling prophecies of doom
02/16/2010
As premature prophecies of Democratic doom proliferate, ricocheting through candidates’ brains and campaign organizations, they risk becoming self-fulfilling. In part this risk results from some elected officials having been panicked…
Politics of future past
02/09/2010
One of the questions often debated, late at night, around the metaphorical campaign campfire, is whether elections are about the past or the future. Political scientists armed with econometric models…
Robo-polls and human error
02/02/2010
Political pollsters’ conceit is that, unlike traditional market researchers, Election Day provides a report card on the quality of our work that reveals unequivocally whether we are right or wrong,…
Meaning of Mass. election
01/26/2010
It is by now axiomatic that Massachusetts voters were in revolt last week. But who, or what, were they rebelling against? Were they using their ballots to attack President Barack…
Effect of polls on races
01/19/2010
I’m frequently asked whether polls affect election outcomes. My typical response is, “Not really.” Writing Monday, before the Massachusetts outcome is known, I just may have found a race that…