Hill column  .

Before the ink hardens on journalists’ first draft of history, let’s examine what really happened in Iowa. (Note: I’m writing before any New Hampshire votes have been cast.)   Much…

Iowa has become the Gettysburg of the Democratic nominating process – a climactic battle, fought well before the end of the war, that will do much to determine the outcome…

Though Rudy Giuliani has, until recently, represented the secular wing of the Republican Party, if he is to be saved, salvation will come at the hand of a Baptist preacher.…

A couple of columns ago I proffered the heretical observation that people are only mediocre predictors of their own behavior, but may be better fortune tellers when it comes to…

The last time the United States convened Israelis and Palestinians for peace talks, the host was a president near the end of his term, deeply immersed in the complexities of…

Regular readers have heard me rail against the inaccuracy of early polling, which often fails to presage ultimate electoral outcomes.   Yet I have also maintained that presidential elections are…

As polls proliferate, we are treated to a torrent of data, only some of which yield useful insights or accurate predictions. congressional approval is one of those numbers often invested…

Fortunately for the Republic, I do politics, not public policy. Sometimes, however, the sense of impending national crisis reaches out from the data and smacks an analyst in the face.…

As the eyes of the political class turn toward Iowa, it is time to clear away a few cobwebs and dispel three myths that have grown up around the legendary…

Republicans seemed gleeful this week that the congressional agenda was turning to national security in the form of debate about warrantless wiretapping by the Bush administration. Think again.While I’ve long…