As I’ve noted here before, opinions on gay rights generally have changed faster than those on almost any subject in the history of polling. While views on transgender rights took off later, and haven’t reached the same point yet, the trajectory of the changes in those attitudes is similar. Americans are quickly adopting positions in…
As I’ve argued before, Donald Trump can be beaten in 2020. “Can” and “will” are two very different things, however. While I’m not a lawyer, I can argue both sides of the case — that Trump will be victorious and that he’ll lose. Democrats would be foolish to merely assume that Trump will be defeated next November.…
To its discredit, the Trump administration has turned “infrastructure week” into a running joke, betraying both the president’s core constituency and the country at large. The need is no joke. At last report, the professional American Society of Civil Engineers rated the nation’s infrastructure a D+, a grade in which no student, and no country,…
The big news in polling this week: the Australian election! In our Netflix world, I’ve become a fan of Australian TV, but don’t recall anything from down under being big news in the U.S. since 2006, when “Crocodile Hunter” Steve Irwin was allegedly killed by a stingray that stabbed him “hundreds of times.” Just as…
For 41 of its 71-year history, prime ministers of the social democratic left presided over Israel. For the last decade, and at least until the next election, a prime minister of the right rules. The same year Bill Clinton was elected to the White House, Israeli voters gave the social democratic Labor Party, the farther-left Meretz and…
Don’t get me wrong. The pollsters at The Washington Post are extraordinary. But even extraordinary people aren’t perfect. Consider the headline attached to their poll a few days ago: “Populist economic frustration threatens Trump’s strongest reelection issue, Post-ABC poll finds.” The article goes on to report, “President Trump’s strongest case for reelection remains the country’s…
Last week, one of my very smart, and very distinguished, colleagues told The Washington Post in no uncertain terms that the 2020 “election is going to be about the economy.” Unless something changes dramatically, Democrats better hope my friend is wrong, because that’s an election we will likely lose. Nonetheless, some Democrats are aiming for…
Americans don’t feel Congress represents them very well. YouGov reported only 25 percent of respondents felt people like them were even somewhat well represented in Congress, with 60 percent saying they were not well represented. Why? There are several possibilities. Voters may believe Congress doesn’t look like America. Increasingly, it does, though there remains much…
Those of us not named Robert Mueller or William Barr have no real idea what the Mueller report says about President Trump and his campaign. The president claims it completely exonerates him. That may or may not be true, but let’s stipulate that such a conclusion is the president’s best case scenario. It could be much worse for him, but “total…
“Who’s going to win the Democratic nomination for President?” It’s the question I get most often these days. We are already swimming in data, but haven’t the slightest idea who will leave Milwaukee as the nominee. Democrats have on offer an outstanding cadre of candidates, which is likely to grow further before it begins to…
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