Why no red wave?
11/16/2022
History said there should be a red wave. After all, on average, in the 19 midterms between the end of World War II and this one, the White House party…
Election results will need to be put in perspective
10/26/2022
If Democrats lose a net of eight House seats, will that be a lot or a little? How will you know? Most numbers mean little on their own. We ascribe…
Who will decide this election?
10/19/2022
I know exactly how to get you to stop reading right now: We’re going to do a little arithmetic! It’s simple, so I hope you’ll bear with me. Each cycle,…
Question order and poll result
10/12/2022
Forty years ago, Connecticut featured a marquee Senate race. Incumbent Lowell Weicker cemented his reputation as an independent Republican leading the charge against Richard Nixon’s Watergate crimes on the Senate investigating committee.…
Abortion impact on elections
09/27/2022
Issues are the accepted language of political campaigning. But rarely, if ever, has a single issue so transformed the political landscape in the weeks before an election as abortion seems…
Changing fundamentals boost Democrats
09/14/2022
Democrats’ electoral prospects improved in recent months as a function of several developments, including the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization abortion decision and Democratic legislative successes. Some…
Where were the heroes on the infamous Dec. 18?
07/27/2022
Dec. 18 has joined the list of days that will live in infamy. Unlike Dec. 7 and Sept. 11, this latest addition does not recall foreign adversaries using force against…
The decline of SCOTUS
06/29/2022
Radical justices are doing serious, possibly irrepealable damage to the Supreme Court on which they sit. When the draft abortion opinion leaked, I wrote here that by “slapping two-thirds of…
How many endorse political violence?
06/22/2022
“Professors Debate” is a headline that would not have merited a “breaking news” banner, even under CNN’s old regime. But this debate is both important and timely, given the January 6 committee…
Will 2022 tell us about 2024?
06/15/2022
While no one knows exactly how bad this year will be for Democrats, every serious analyst recognizes 2022 is unlikely to be good for my party. Whatever the precise outcome,…