Category: Mark’s Hill Column

The GOP’s continuing Donald Trump problem

Donald Trump isn’t finished inflicting pain on the Republican Party. Republicans’ unwillingness to deal with their Trump problem, as late as his second impeachment, could well cost them dearly in 2022 and beyond. My Republican colleague, and Trump pollster, Tony Fabrizio, racks up the data that should be scaring the daylights out his fellow travelers.

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Biden’s smart bipartisan message

Many commentators seem fascinated, even perplexed, by President Biden’s efforts to define bipartisanship as support from Republican voters instead of from GOP lawmakers. They seem to have missed the political rhetoric of the last 20 years, while also failing to grasp how bipartisanship works in the public mind. According to research by Dartmouth’s Sean Westwood, House

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Party brand vs personal brand

In the wake of a great victory for the American Rescue Plan, predicated on Democratic unity, I hate to reopen old wounds, but I hope I can be excused as my purpose is pedagogical, not polemical. In the election aftermath, Reps. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) famously sparred over the party’s direction. Note that Spanberger outperformed Joe

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How the Senate decided impeachment

What can the impeachment vote tell us about the forces at work as our elected representatives grapple with key issues? I recently cited British philosopher and parliamentarian Edmund Burke, a founding father of conservatism, who argued the trusteeship theory of representation. A legislator, Burke wrote, should not sacrifice to constituents “his unbiased opinion, his mature

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White working-class politics

Analysts have been debating the politics of America’s white working-class for years with little net increase in knowledge. The whole discussion assumes a fact not fully in evidence — that membership in the “white working-class” is a politically relevant identity; that it is causally related to voting behavior. Maybe, but far from clearly proven. Indeed,

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A Republican betrayal

Despite some important exceptions, most Republican senators failed to uphold the Framer’s vision, while betraying their own constitutional originalism and conservative principals of representation. As I noted last week, the Framers predicted the Senate “will always be of the number of those who best understand our national interests … and whose reputation for integrity inspires

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The need to convict

Deciding whether or not to impeach and convict a president should always be difficult. Such a step should never be taken lightly. In the case of Donald Trump’s second impeachment, the argument for conviction has been framed around justice and accountability. Trump incited an insurrection against the United States and, like any other serious law breaker,

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Beware the analyses

The Hill and I are taking an end-of-year break. While we’re gone, you’ll no doubt be devouring endless analyses of the 2020 election. Be careful. Much of the data being analyzed, and the tools being employed, are laden with problems and pitfalls. Start with the exit polls. Some critics of these instruments have become rabid,

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Mired in Partisanship

Monday before Election Day, researching a piece that’ll never be read, I noticed Donald Trump’s approval rating had crept up to nearly 46 percent. Having analyzed here the close relationship between presidents’ approval and their vote totals, I was momentarily taken aback. For most of his term, Trump languished between 40-42 percent, which was consistent with Joe

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Protections & threats

Here’s the good news: Thousands of state and local officials — attorneys general, secretaries of state, governors, state and county boards of elections, and state and local law enforcement — are working assiduously to protect your right to vote, to have that vote counted and to ensure that vote counts in deciding our nation’s future.

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