Hill column  .

Oblivious to decades of poll data and campaign experience, Speaker McCarthy is allowing the far-right Freedom Caucus to lead his Republican Conference like lemmings over the cliff into political oblivion.…

Pundits continue puzzling over the seeming disconnect between economic reality and public perception. The reality is simple: President Biden has presided over a uniquely successful economic recovery. Whether by comparison…

As the Supreme Court decides the fate of affirmative action in college admissions, pollsters, or at least journalists writing about polls, seem to be reaching diametrically opposed conclusions. A University…

This week, in discussing a fascinating new paper, I want to bring together two ideas that have long animated this column. One of those ideas is that people have limited…

It’s obvious to us Democrats that the GOP is the party of extremists and extremism. How extreme? On a recent CNN town hall, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, attempting…

It’s obvious to us Democrats —the GOP is the party of extremists and extremism. How extreme? On CNN’s town hall, Nikki Haley, attempting to exude moderation, argued there are elements…

Professor George Box, called “one of the great statistical minds of the 20th century,” put it this way, “All models are wrong. Some are useful.” As we increasingly rely on…

The ABC News/Washington Post poll is one of the very best public surveys available. The specific numbers reported in its most recent iteration are probably not correct. The broad conclusions…

The Governor wanted to talk urgently. I’d explained that with a positive job rating in the mid-30s, the right track for the state in the low 20s and the percentage…

Ever since economic thinking captured the public mind in the 18th century, efficiency has been a prime preoccupation of nearly every organization. As Americans were declaring their independence in 1776,…