Hill column  .

The death toll in Syria recently surpassed 170,000; in Gaza it topped 1,000. Although each of these individual deaths is a tragedy of infinite proportions, Israel’s supporters often ask why…

House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Michael McCaul (R-Texas) demonstrated that he is certainly not qualified to chair the “intelligence” committee, by mindlessly repeating that “the president of the United States…

Pew’s carefully crafted, richly detailed study of political polarization was released a month ago, but it has not quelled the debate. Is America polarized, more so than in the past?…

Pew’s study of political polarization yields such rich data that I, like many others, will be mining it for a long time to come. But because you will likely be…

I’m going to defend the indefensible and attempt to explain the inexplicable. I’m unwilling to throw up my hands and blame statistics or incompetence for the failure of polls to…

I was a modeler before it was cool. Our firm brought modeling to Democratic poll data in the early 1980s, created the first micro-targeting models in the middle and late 1980s,…

Isolationism is extending its grip on public opinion. The last time I made that argument, friends critiqued me, with some justification, for basing the conclusion on voters’ stated reluctance to…

For the last several weeks I’ve been trying to correct a meme that has been abroad in the land among journalists, academics, donors and even campaign strategists. In only slightly…

For several weeks I’ve been exploring an argument increasingly heard in the press and some political circles: Persuasion is wasted effort, at least in a midterm race; increasing turnout is…

Last week I began discussing, some might say attacking, a meme heard with increasing frequency: Persuasion is a waste, it’s all about turnout. The latest entrant in this vein was…