For 08 win,target Wis., Ohio now
03/21/2006
Much as we might like to deny it, voters are creatures of habit. In only 13 of the 51 states (including the District of Columbia) did Bush’s two-party margin…
06 elections test political physics
03/14/2006
Last week I argued that if the “political environment” determines election outcomes, ’06 will be a great year for Democrats. Rarely have we had a president so unpopular going…
On one hand, tide is rolling Dems way
03/07/2006
Each new poll elicits more excitement among Democrats while deepening Republicans’ depression. If the national political environment alone determines electoral outcomes, 2006 is shaping up as a banner year for…
Of switch and swing in 04 race
02/28/2006
The point was debated endlessly: Was the 2004 election about mobilization or persuasion – exciting the base or bringing the swing? In the immediate aftermath, many proclaimed proof for the…
Dems must rediscover their passion
02/21/2006
Diagnoses of the ills of the Democratic Party abound. The brain, heart and spine are among the body parts commentators have implicated. Often though, the discussion returns to issues. Compelling…
Debunking the myths of the Contract
02/14/2006
Wherever Democrats debate strategy and tactics, conversation inevitably turns to the Republican’s Contract with America. It is the Rorschach inkblot in which everyone sees something different but most visualize salvation.…
The state of Bushs State of the Union
02/07/2006
The Bush White House governs poorly but campaigns well. One part of campaigning President Bush’s people have perfected is lowering expectations. In 2000, they had the press and public convinced…
Post-game State of the Union guide
01/31/2006
I’m writing before President Bush’s State of the Union speech; you’re reading after it has been delivered. So here are four questions you can use to help guide your evaluation…
States of the Democrats
01/24/2006
Two new state-level data compilations should be bringing heartburn to Republicans and modest smiles to the lips of Democrats. The first, released by Gallup, uses its 42,500 interviews conducted in…
If Roe goes, the GOP falls
01/17/2006
If Samuel Alito is confirmed to the Supreme Court, Republicans will rue the day. At some future moment, having lost the Senate, the House and the White House, they will…