Healthcare reform is no poison pill
03/28/2012
As the Supreme Court puts healthcare reform in the dock, I’ve seen at least a dozen commentators offer up some version of political apocalypse, calling the law “radioactive,” “poisonous” and…
Economy improving, not yet better
03/20/2012
Don’t confuse momentum with levels. Both are important and sometimes they tell different stories, leading to divergent strategies. Voters are increasingly coming to realize the economy is improving. However, they…
Delegates, demography and ego
03/13/2012
Mitt Romney seems destined to limp over the finish line in Tampa, Fla., as the weakened, exhausted and widely disliked leader of a divided, unenthusiastic Republican Party. Whether the weeks…
Romney’s negatives are his fault
03/06/2012
Tuesday night must have been bittersweet for Mitt Romney. Just as he finally feels the nomination is in hand (as you know, I’ve been pretty confident of that for a…
Words matter in pollsters’ questions
02/28/2012
It seems like a simple question: Do Americans now support the Obama administration’s efforts to save our auto industry? It seems like a simple question: Do Americans now support the…
Justice Scalia on religious freedom
02/21/2012
How did progressives cede the religious freedom argument in the contraception debate? The right’s attack on the president’s contraception compromise is constitutionally ignorant, historically inaccurate and philosophically convoluted. Does the…
From a referendum to a choice
02/14/2012
The natural state of an election involving an incumbent, particularly a presidential election, is to be a referendum on that incumbent. While the economy is improving, we can stipulate that…
Splitting the ticket not so rare
02/07/2012
With a tight race expected for the White House, control of both chambers of Congress at stake and many of the marquee House and Senate contests taking places in traditionally…
The 50 percent problem
01/31/2012
What do job approval ratings portend about a president’s reelection prospects? Quite a lot, according to most analysts, whose mantra is that an incumbent president needs 50 percent approval to…
Mean and extreme
01/24/2012
I admit it: I underestimated Newt Gingrich, who has established himself as the Freddy Krueger of politics, repeatedly left for dead but always able to resurrect himself (at least, so…