The need to convict
02/10/2021
Deciding whether or not to impeach and convict a president should always be difficult. Such a step should never be taken lightly. In the case of Donald Trump’s second impeachment, the…
Beware the analyses
12/09/2020
The Hill and I are taking an end-of-year break. While we’re gone, you’ll no doubt be devouring endless analyses of the 2020 election. Be careful. Much of the data being…
Mired in Partisanship
12/02/2020
Monday before Election Day, researching a piece that’ll never be read, I noticed Donald Trump’s approval rating had crept up to nearly 46 percent. Having analyzed here the close relationship between…
Polling isn’t broken. But we too often miss its hidden signals.
11/16/2020
It’s easy to cherry-pick polls that missed the outcome of the 2020 election. Shortly before Election Day, Quinnipiac had Joe Biden ahead by 11 points; today; the outcome seems closer to four.…
Protections & threats
10/28/2020
Here’s the good news: Thousands of state and local officials — attorneys general, secretaries of state, governors, state and county boards of elections, and state and local law enforcement —…
Battle of the suburbs
10/21/2020
We tend to think about voters as individuals whose personal characteristics determine their candidate choices. We focus on attributes like race, gender, education and age. Such individual distinctions are clearly…
The Democratic deficits
10/14/2020
American leaders often speak as if our country is the world’s prime exemplar, and prime proponent, of democracy. The public differs. Today, in the minds of our citizens (ignoring, for…
What happened after Ginsburg?
10/07/2020
Twenty-seven years ago, the late, great, Ruth Bader Ginsburg was confirmed to her seat on the Supreme Court by a 96-3 Senate vote. Whichever president ends up appointing her, it’s inconceivable that…
Do debates matter?
09/30/2020
You’ve already witnessed Tuesday night’s debate. Writing during the day Tuesday, I haven’t. But I’ll bet you’ve also been showered with commentary suggesting it could “rattle the race,” “shake up…
The folly in questions people can’t answer
09/23/2020
I’ve been privileged to work with many campaign managers over the years, nearly all of whom have been wonderful. Most of them taught me important lessons. At least once a…