… but divided we fall
03/18/2008
I’m starting to worry. For reasons I’ve rehearsed here before and will no doubt detail again, I believe Democrats are exquisitely positioned to win the White House in 2008.…
Primary fortunes and election tales
03/11/2008
Start with the obvious: Hillary Clinton is very unlikely to catch up to Barack Obama in the number of pledged delegates won, and Barack Obama is very unlikely to win…
Underdogs jumping on bandwagons
03/04/2008
While I cannot know what the results Tuesday will bring, by the time you read this, there is no doubt we will have heard a great deal about either “bandwagons”…
Lessons from Wisconsin
02/26/2008
Writing before primary day, to be read afterward, presents some real challenges. With no contests this week, we can get out from behind the curve and catch up. That’s…
Danger: Conclusions ahead
02/19/2008
As a kid, I dreamed about driving a Formula One racing car. Having found politics a less perilous route to those adrenaline rushes, I never thought the phrase “Danger, Do…
The politics of identity
02/12/2008
While politics, like all social activities, often implicates questions of identity, this primary season, chock-full of historic candidacies, affords many more opportunities than usual for identity politics, and for its…
Republicans’ McCain problem
02/05/2008
While the gaze of the commentariat has been firmly fixed on the Clinton-Obama contretemps, implicating as it did a former president and issues of race – subjects too juicy to…
Bounce from S.C. critical
01/29/2008
As we look toward 24 Super Tuesday nominating contests, with 1,688 pledged delegates at stake, out of the 4,049 who will decide the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, Barack…
N.H.: Many theories, little data
01/22/2008
It was not Iraq, but for pollsters involved in the New Hampshire debacle (fortunately not us), it seemed like the professional equivalent. With almost as many explanations circulating as…
Explaining Clinton’s turnaround
01/16/2008
Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire comeback was nothing short of remarkable. While the erroneous polling (about which more in a future column) raised expectations for Barack Obama, the simple truth is…