April

Let’s face it: Americans have rarely been anxious to open their “golden door” to the world’s “tired ... poor … huddled masses yearning to breathe free; the wretched refuse of…

Starting at the bottom. That phrase, applied to the first days of the Trump presidency, could mean so many different things. Here’s where I’m going with it: Notwithstanding the confusing…

Human beings display a natural inclination to overweigh the causal role of people in producing outcomes, while underweighting the role of circumstances, of situations. Indeed, this tendency is so pervasive…

We’re accustomed to the trope that this year’s presidential election featured the two most unpopular candidates in history. It’s true, but it was not foreordained, at least not for Hillary…

How did the most unpopular presidential candidate in history (at least in the history of polling) accede to the highest office in the land? It matters that our constitutional system…

Before diving into observations about the last Tuesday’s results, as a pollster, I feel compelled to write this first post-election column about the survey research misses. First, put the errors…

Waylon Jennings and Willie Nelson once warned mamas against letting their babies grow up to be cowboys. Instead they urged, "Let 'em be doctors and lawyers and such." Neither outlaw…