Holiday blues
12/16/2008
Far be it for me to be a holiday Grinch, but the simple truth is that while many Americans will be putting on a brave front this season, beneath the…
What the heck happened in Indiana?
12/09/2008
While some have spent the last four years asking, “What’s the matter with Kansas?” the more interesting question, in the aftermath of this election, is what the heck happened in…
Three groups to watch
12/02/2008
Take a guess. Which demographic group doubled its share of the electorate from 2004 to 2008? Here’s a hint. It’s the same segment that increased its support for the…
This is an opportunity to perform
11/18/2008
Though the last two election cycles have been very good to Democrats, President-elect Barack Obama and his team have assiduously avoided dancing in the end zone. While most Democrats have…
Israel and the Jewish vote
11/12/2008
In capturing the White House, President-elect Barack Obama won 78 percent of the two-party Jewish vote - a showing identical to that of John Kerry and stronger than those of…
The why of the win
11/11/2008
President-elect Barack Obama’s historic victory resulted from his extraordinary talents as a candidate, from a flawless campaign and from the central role of the fundamentals discussed – perhaps too frequently…
A lot more than just numbers
10/28/2008
With everyone dissecting polls, I thought some not-so-secret secrets of poll-watching might be appreciated. My most important caveat – simply looking at the margin in a single poll, at…
Don’t blame Steve Schmidt
10/21/2008
Two years ago, Steve Schmidt was feted by the American Association of Political Consultants as the GOP Campaign Manager of the Year for resuscitating the political fortunes of Arnold Schwarzenegger,…
Duped by pro-Palin grading system
10/14/2008
For better or worse, the vice presidential debate will not affect the outcome of the race one iota. Nonetheless, one of its most striking features – with implications for Wednesday…
The noose tightens on McCain
10/07/2008
A couple of weeks ago, I argued that national trends were moving decisively in Barack Obama’s direction, though in a rather predictable way. Those trends have continued, magnified, perhaps, by…