Debating the debates
09/30/2008
How often have you heard this year’s presidential debates described as “critical,” “all-important” or even “decisive”? About as frequently as you have in every election year, I’d bet. We like…
The race shifts back
09/23/2008
A few weeks ago, I was lamenting the confusion created by all the contradictory polls and urging readers to ignore them in favor of a focus on the fundamentals. Those…
Another Country
09/17/2008
VOTERS not only express a desire for change in the coming election, they themselves have changed, and their shifting values are likely to alter the course of future policy debates.…
Lies, damn lies and John McCain
09/16/2008
While he appears to have been a wanton and callow youth, John McCain tells us he discovered honor in a North Vietnamese prison camp. McCain has either forgotten what honor…
McCain contradicts himself
09/09/2008
John McCain offers America a welter of contradictions in both character and policy – contradictions so profound they call into question the fundamental premises of his campaign. McCain’s brash…
What Palin says about McCain
09/02/2008
In selecting Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) as his running mate, John McCain violated the first, and perhaps only, rule of vice presidential selection – first do no harm. …
Sometimes, the more you study a race, the less you know
08/26/2008
I’d love to know what is going on in this presidential race – and as a pollster I really should. Instead of enhancing my overall understanding, though, the plethora of…
Why Obama doesn’t hold big lead
08/12/2008
Despite my attempt to bat it down several weeks ago, the question persists: “Given the Democrats’ substantial advantages on the fundamentals, why isn’t Barack Obama doing better against John McCain?”…
Time to play ‘pick a poll’ again
08/05/2008
Once again, it’s time to play “pick a poll, any poll,” and tell any story you want. Barack Obama’s overseas trip was one of the most widely covered events…
Changing electoral demographics
07/29/2008
Among the many good deeds done by the Pew Research Center is a handy comparison of its June polls, conducted during each of the last three presidential election cycles. Holding…