Biden’s smart bipartisan message
03/31/2021
Many commentators seem fascinated, even perplexed, by President Biden’s efforts to define bipartisanship as support from Republican voters instead of from GOP lawmakers. They seem to have missed the political rhetoric…
Can Democrats Still Count on the Grass-Roots?
03/11/2021
An internal study by Democratic consultants found that some small-dollar donors plan to cut back on giving. For Democrats who care deeply about progressive causes, Donald Trump’s presidency was a…
Party brand vs personal brand
03/10/2021
In the wake of a great victory for the American Rescue Plan, predicated on Democratic unity, I hate to reopen old wounds, but I hope I can be excused as…
How the Senate decided impeachment
03/03/2021
What can the impeachment vote tell us about the forces at work as our elected representatives grapple with key issues? I recently cited British philosopher and parliamentarian Edmund Burke, a…
White working-class politics
02/24/2021
Analysts have been debating the politics of America’s white working-class for years with little net increase in knowledge. The whole discussion assumes a fact not fully in evidence — that…
A Republican betrayal
02/17/2021
Despite some important exceptions, most Republican senators failed to uphold the Framer’s vision, while betraying their own constitutional originalism and conservative principals of representation. As I noted last week, the…
The need to convict
02/10/2021
Deciding whether or not to impeach and convict a president should always be difficult. Such a step should never be taken lightly. In the case of Donald Trump’s second impeachment, the…
Beware the analyses
12/09/2020
The Hill and I are taking an end-of-year break. While we’re gone, you’ll no doubt be devouring endless analyses of the 2020 election. Be careful. Much of the data being…
Mired in Partisanship
12/02/2020
Monday before Election Day, researching a piece that’ll never be read, I noticed Donald Trump’s approval rating had crept up to nearly 46 percent. Having analyzed here the close relationship between…
Polling isn’t broken. But we too often miss its hidden signals.
11/16/2020
It’s easy to cherry-pick polls that missed the outcome of the 2020 election. Shortly before Election Day, Quinnipiac had Joe Biden ahead by 11 points; today; the outcome seems closer to four.…