Whither the economy
05/29/2018
Last week, I argued here that voters’ evaluations of economic “realities” are heavily conditioned by their partisan identities. When asked about the economy, many use their response as an opportunity…
Economic realities and partisan feelings
05/22/2018
I’ve noted many times that partisanship is a powerful drug. But you would think people would be able to shake off their partisan stupor long enough to report accurately on…
The coming revolution in sports gambling
05/15/2018
Sports fans love to bet. Each year Americans wager over $150 billion on sporting events. Our research for the American Gaming Association found more than a quarter of those who…
North Carolina voters dump Democratic sheriff who backed ICE deportation program
05/13/2018
The winner, an ex-homicide detective who once hosted a true-crime series based on his career, will end Charlotte's participation in Trump's effort to go after undocumented immigrants. WASHINGTON —…
Cooperating With Trump on Immigration Takes Political Toll on Sheriffs
05/09/2018
There may be no politics more local than a campaign for sheriff, but the charged national issue of immigration has become suddenly salient. The defeat of two prominent sheriffs in…
Who’s hurting GOP Senate prospects?
05/09/2018
Who do you think is the most unpopular politician in Washington? President Trump might be your first guess. After all, the least popular president at this point in his tenure, Trump’s…
Memories may be beautiful, yet…
04/24/2018
Pollsters often assume respondents can remember basic political behavior. It’s not a wise assumption. Professionals are often asking people whether they voted last year, who they voted for, whether they…
Did Cambridge have anything to sell?
04/17/2018
There’s little doubt Cambridge Analytica’s behavior was scandalous, but was it a scam? If any of what is alleged is true, the firm and its leadership behaved unethically, and possibly…
Will Trump lose the GOP nomination?
04/03/2018
Reporters love writing about the persistence of the Trump coalition. I sense it’s partly out of surprise and wonder. Like most college educated Americans, reporters have trouble believing there are…
Evangelicals meet partisanship
03/27/2018
Twenty years ago, evangelical leaders could hardly have been more appalled. Arguing that character counts, Rev. Franklin Graham asserted that if a president “will lie to, or mislead, his wife…